‘Casino’ Outcomes in Special Parliament Session

 ‘Casino’ Outcomes in Special Parliament Session
الرابط المختصر

Despite listing the casino issue on the special parliament session’s agenda, following a request by MPs and the recommendation of  Prime Minister Marouf Al-Bakhit himself, the possible outcomes of the issue are too numerous to predict.

The first outcome includes discussing the case in parliament and accusing the Prime Minister with the majority of two third of the members. In this case, the issue would be referred to the Higher Council for Constitutional Interpretation which would assume the role of the court and use the ministers’ lawsuits based on article 55 of the Jordanian constitution. Although this outcome is theoretically possible, it is farfetched given that the decision needs the approval of 81 out of 120 members.

The second outcome would be declaring PM Marouf Al-Bakhit innocent and accusing other ministers of the case in both Al-Bakhit's current and previous government. In this case, Marouf Al-Bakhit and his ministers will leave the case unharmed.

The third outcome consisst of declaring both Marouf Al-Bakhit and his ministers innocent and holding other employees responsible. This would essentially be issuing a death certificate to the parliament and leading to its quick dissolution.

Others have suggested another scenario that may be the closest to reality, which predicts that the casino file will be buried by transferring it to its legal committee where it will remain hidden in drawers until the special session concludes or the parliament is dissolved. The file could be transferred to the legal committee by challenging the procedures through the investigational committee that was formed within the council.

The fourth scenario could be nothing more than postponing the case, leaving the Jordanian people without an outcome at all.

The true solution would be the fifth outcome which includes the government submitting its resignation in the middle of the session, before the file can be discussed. This would suspend the parliament’s sessions until a new government is formed during the time that the king would issue a royal decree to adjourn the session.

A final scenario, though doubtful, consists of discussing the casino file in the special session until it is adjourned by the parliament president. However, the president cannot stand in the face of all others if he takes such a position and  he cannot risk his reputation to save Marouf Al-Bakhit.

What will transpire throughout the next few days of heated debate will not necessarily reflect any single outcome. Accusing Marouf Al-Bakhit or other ministers will not mean the end of the case, it is in the hands of the Higher Council for Constitutional Interpretation. Will Jordan, for the first time in its history, witness the condemnation of its President or any of its members?