Rana Al-Sabbagh Warns of West Bank Shifts and the "Dahlan Project":

Jordanian Public Calls on Amman for Urgent Action and Clear Red Lines

Political analyst and journalist Rana Al-Sabbagh has warned of the rapid developments in the West Bank and their direct repercussions on Jordanian national security, noting that the Jordanian public is experiencing deep anxiety amid accelerating Judaization, "Israelization," and settlement expansion that eats away at what remains of Palestinian land.

Al-Sabbagh explained that recent statements by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu effectively sealed the occupation's stance on ending any option for an independent Palestinian state in Gaza or the West Bank, leaving instead a fragmented, enclave-based self-governance of disconnected municipalities. She added that the Israeli plan targets the displacement of Palestinians, which could push Amman toward difficult and critical decisions, including the potential necessity of closing its borders to manage new waves of displacement and block the full execution of this scheme.

In her analysis of Palestinian political dynamics, Al-Sabbagh noted that the long-standing Jordanian and Saudi reliance on President Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority as a key partner is facing significant strain following the Authority's failure to maintain control over a divided street. Citing Arab diplomats, she pointed out that recent reform measures and Abbas's re-election no longer convince allies or the US administration.

Concurrently, she highlighted the rise and expansion of Palestinian figure Mohammed Dahlan's project, backed by the UAE and allies internally and externally, presenting itself as an alternative candidate for the presidency and authority. She warned that imposing top-down political arrangements on Palestinians from abroad risks deepening internal divisions and spilling the conflict into neighboring countries, directly threatening Jordan's borders.

Al-Sabbagh concluded by addressing the mood in the Jordanian street, which is looking for a firm, direct stance beyond traditional diplomacy and standard warnings. She stressed that sweeping transformations across the Middle East require Amman to move swiftly to mitigate damages, reinforce the domestic front, and revise the foundations of its foreign and security policy to safeguard national interests, underscoring that the top priority remains "Jordan first and foremost."